ТРИБУНА РУССКОЙ МЫСЛИ №25 ("Антиглобализм, постгуманизм, технократизм")
дополняя тему выпуска

Климатологи официально объявляют о конце «климатической чрезвычайной ситуации»*.

 

В ноябре 2024 г. чешское подразделение Международной группы климатической разведки (international Climate Intelligence Group (Clintel) в рамках проведённой в Праге конференции заявила, что "предполагаемая "чрезвычайная ситуация в области климата" закончилась". В подготовленном принявшими участие в конференции учеными коммюнике отмечается, что в течение нескольких десятилетий климатологи систематически преувеличивали влияние CO2 на глобальную температуру, а  Межправительственная группа экспертов по изменению климата (The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) должна быть распущена. Во время конференции призвали " все научное сообщество прекратить преследование ученых и исследователей, которые не согласны с нынешним официальным подходом к изменению климата, и вместо этого вновь поддержать давнюю и благородную традицию свободных, открытых и неподцензурных научных исследований, расследований, публикаций и дискуссий”.

До сих пор попытки смягчить последствия изменения климата с помощью международных соглашений, таких как Парижское соглашение, никак не повлияли на наше влияние на климат, даже если все страны сразу перейдут к нулевому уровню выбросов, к намеченному сроку 2050 года в мире будет всего лишь на 0,1°C холоднее, чем при отсутствии сокращения выбросов. При этом  Глобальные финансовые потери, связанные с изменением климата, выраженные в процентах от мирового годового валового внутреннего продукта, снизились и продолжают снижаться, а затраты на достижение такого снижения глобального потепления на 0,1 градуса цельсия составят 2 квадриллиона долларов ($2 quadrillion), что эквивалентно мировому валовому внутреннему продукту за 20 лет. Ветровая и солнечная энергия являются дорогостоящими, непостоянными и  разрушительными для окружающей среды, а достижение глобального нулевого уровня выброса практически недостижима из-за отсутствия необходимых для этих технологий металлов.  Кроме того:

 

- Небольшое увеличение концентрации углекислого газа в атмосфере, произошедшее после окончания Малого ледникового периода (Little Ice Age), принесло пользу человечеству.

-  Увеличение концентрации парниковых газов в воздухе в обозримом будущем, вероятно, также принесет пользу.

- Темпы и амплитуда глобального потепления были и будут значительно ниже, чем давно предсказывали климатологи.

- Солнце, а не парниковые газы, повлияло и будет продолжать влиять на глобальную температуру в подавляющем большинстве случаев.

- Геологические данные убедительно свидетельствуют о том, что темпы и амплитуда глобального потепления в индустриальную эпоху не являются ни беспрецедентными, ни необычными.

- Климатические модели по своей сути неспособны сказать нам что-либо о том, насколько сильным будет глобальное потепление или о том, имеет ли оно естественную или антропогенную причину и в какой степени.

- Глобальное потепление, скорее всего, будет по-прежнему медленным, незначительным, безвредным и приносящим чистую выгоду.

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Источник: https://wattsupwiththat.com/2024/11/19/climate-scientists-officially-declare-climate-emergency-at-an-end/

 

Climate scientists officially declare ‘climate emergency’ at an end

 

Guest Blogger

Press release by the Climate Intelligence Group (CLINTEL)


The Chamber of Deputies in session

 

Climate scientists have issued a shock declaration that the “climate emergency” is over.

A two-day climate conference in Prague, organised by the Czech division of the international Climate Intelligence Group (Clintel), which took place on November 12-13 in the Chamber of Deputies of the Czech Republic in Prague, “declares and affirms that the imagined and imaginary ‘climate emergency’ is at an end”.

The communiqué, drafted by the eminent scientists and researchers who spoke at the conference, makes clear that for several decades climate scientists have  systematically exaggerated the influence of CO2 on global temperature.

The high-level scientific conference also declared:

“The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which excludes participants and published papers disagreeing with its narrative, fails to comply with its own error-reporting protocol and draws conclusions some of which are dishonest, should be forthwith dismantled.”

The declaration supports the conclusions of the major Clintel report The Frozen Climate Views of the IPCC [presented to the Conference by Marcel Crok, Clintel’s co-founder].

Moreover, the scientists at the conference declared that even if all nations moved straight to net zero emissions, by the 2050 target date the world would be only about 0.1 C cooler than with no emissions reduction.

So far, the attempts to mitigate climate change by international agreements such as the Paris Agreement have made no difference to our influence on climate, since nations such as Russia and China, India and Pakistan continue greatly to expand their combustion of coal, oil and gas.

The cost of achieving that 0.1 C reduction in global warming would be $2 quadrillion, equivalent to 20 years’ worldwide gross domestic product.

Finally, the conference “calls upon the entire scientific community to cease and desist from its persecution of scientists and researchers who disagree with the current official narrative on climate change and instead to encourage once again the long and noble tradition of free, open and uncensored scientific research, investigation, publication and discussion”.

The full text of the communiqué follows:

The International Scientific Conference of the Climate Intelligence Group (Clintel), in the Chamber of Deputies of the Czech Republic in Prague assembled on the Twelfth and Thirteenth Days of November 2024, has resolved and now declares as follows, that is to say –

  1. The modest increase in the atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide that has taken place since the end of the Little Ice Age has been net-beneficial to humanity.
  2. Foreseeable future increases in greenhouse gases in the air will probably also prove net-beneficial.
  3. The rate and amplitude of global warming have been and will continue to be appreciably less than climate scientists have long predicted.
  4. The Sun, and not greenhouse gases, has contributed and will continue to contribute the overwhelming majority of global temperature.
  5. Geological evidence compellingly suggests that the rate and amplitude of global warming during the industrial era are neither unprecedented nor unusual.
  6. Climate models are inherently incapable of telling us anything about how much global warming there will be or about whether or to what extent the warming has a natural or anthropogenic cause.
  7. Global warming will likely continue to be slow, small, harmless and net-beneficial.
  8. There is broad agreement among the scientific community that extreme weather events have not increased in frequency, intensity or duration and are in future unlikely to do so.
  9. Though global population has increased fourfold over the past century, annually averaged deaths attributable to any climate-related or weather-related event have declined by 99%.
  10. Global climate-related financial losses, expressed as a percentage of global annual gross domestic product, have declined and continue to decline notwithstanding the increase in built infrastructure in harm’s way.
  11. Despite trillions of dollars spent chiefly in Western countries on emissions abatement, global temperature has continued to rise since 1990.
  12. Even if all nations, rather than chiefly western nations, were to move directly and together from the current trajectory to net zero emissions by the official target year of 2050, the global warming prevented by that year would be no more than 0.05 to 0.1 Celsius.
  13. If the Czech Republic, the host of this conference, were to move directly to net zero emissions by 2050, it would prevent only 1/4000 of a degree of warming by that target date.
  14. Based pro rata on the estimate by the UK national grid authority that preparing the grid for net zero would cost $3.8 trillion (the only such estimate that is properly-costed), and on the fact that the grid accounts for 25% of UK emissions, and that UK emissions account for 0.8% of global emissions, the global cost of attaining net zero would approach $2 quadrillion, equivalent to 20 years’ global annual GDP.
  15. On any grid where the installed nameplate capacity of wind and solar power exceeds the mean demand on that grid, adding any further wind or solar power will barely reduce grid CO2 emissions but will greatly increase the cost of electricity and yet will reduce the revenues earned by both new and existing wind and solar generators.
  16. The resources of techno-metals required to achieve global net zero emissions are entirely insufficient even for one 15-year generation of net zero infrastructure, so that net zero is in practice unattainable.
  17. Since wind and solar power are costly, intermittent and more environmentally destructive per TWh generated than any other energy source, governments should cease to subsidize or to prioritize them, and should instead expand coal, gas and, above, all nuclear generation.
  18. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which excludes participants and published papers disagreeing with its narrative, fails to comply with its own error-reporting protocol and draws conclusions some of which are dishonest, should be forthwith dismantled.

Therefore, this conference hereby declares and affirms that the imagined and imaginary “climate emergency” is at an end.

This conference calls upon the entire scientific community to cease and desist from its persecution of scientists and researchers who disagree with the current official narrative on climate change and instead to encourage once again the long and noble tradition of free, open and uncensored scientific research, investigation, publication and discussion.

Given under our signs manual this Thirteenth Day of November in the Year of our Lord Two Thousand and Twenty-Four.

 


* Источник –  https://t.me/c/1528940011/31687



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